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Lightweight3 Rounds
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2
February 1, 2026
Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Win Probability
40%Kim
Fan60%
Predicted Winner
Dom Mar Fan
Confidence: 58%Method: Decision
Why Dom Mar Fan is Favored
Dom Mar Fan fights in front of his home crowd in Sydney with a solid 9-2 record. Kim brings a taekwondo background but is coming off a loss. Mar Fan's pressure and boxing should give him the edge in this fight. Kim's kicks are dangerous but Mar Fan should be able to close distance and work.
Style Matchup Breakdown
Mar Fan's boxing vs Kim's taekwondo. Mar Fan's pressure should limit Kim's kicking game. Kim needs to maintain distance to be effective.
Key Factors
Home crowd for Mar FanKim coming off lossMar Fan's pressure boxingKim's distance kickingBoth looking to bounce back
Sangwook Kim Style
Dom Mar Fan Style
Sangwook Kim Momentum
Momentum
CoolingLast 5 Fights
3W - 2L
Streak
1L
Hotness Index
55
Decline Index
20
Dom Mar Fan Momentum
Momentum
HotLast 5 Fights
4W - 1L
Streak
1W
Hotness Index
72
Decline Index
10
Sangwook Kim Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
20%Damage
20%Age Curve
10%Ring Rust
10%Post-KO
20%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event
Dom Mar Fan Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
20%Damage
15%Age Curve
10%Ring Rust
10%Post-KO
10%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event