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Middleweight3 Rounds
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2
February 1, 2026
Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Win Probability
55%Malkoun
Finney45%
Predicted Winner
Jacob Malkoun
Confidence: 55%Method: Decision
Why Jacob Malkoun is Favored
Jacob Malkoun, training out of City Kickboxing, is on a 4-fight win streak and brings UFC experience against the undefeated Torrez Finney. Malkoun's wrestling and control should be the difference. Finney is 7-0 with an 86% finish rate but hasn't faced UFC-level competition yet. This is a solid test for Finney, but Malkoun's experience and wrestling should carry him to a decision victory.
Style Matchup Breakdown
Malkoun's wrestling (85% TD threat) vs Finney's kickboxing. Finney's counter-striking is solid but untested against elite wrestlers. Malkoun's City Kickboxing gameplan should neutralize Finney's offense.
Key Factors
Malkoun on 4-fight win streakFinney undefeated but untestedMalkoun's UFC experienceFinney's finishing abilityCity Kickboxing gameplanHome crowd for Malkoun
Jacob Malkoun Style
Torrez Finney Style
Jacob Malkoun Momentum
Momentum
HotLast 5 Fights
4W - 1L
Streak
4W
Hotness Index
78
Decline Index
10
Torrez Finney Momentum
Momentum
On FireLast 5 Fights
5W - 0L
Streak
7W
Hotness Index
85
Decline Index
0
Jacob Malkoun Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
15%Damage
20%Age Curve
10%Ring Rust
10%Post-KO
15%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event
Torrez Finney Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
20%Damage
10%Age Curve
5%Ring Rust
5%Post-KO
5%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event