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Lightweight3 Rounds
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2
February 1, 2026
Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Win Probability
75%Salkilld
Mullarkey25%
Predicted Winner
Quillan Salkilld
Confidence: 72%Method: Decision
Why Quillan Salkilld is Favored
Quillan Salkilld is an undefeated prospect (7-0) with a strong wrestling base making his home debut in Sydney. He's a massive favorite for a reason - his grappling and control should overwhelm the veteran Mullarkey. Jamie Mullarkey is a durable knockout artist but has struggled against wrestlers. Salkilld should be able to dictate where this fight takes place and grind out a dominant decision.
Style Matchup Breakdown
Salkilld's wrestling (85% TD threat) vs Mullarkey's boxing. Mullarkey's power is dangerous but his TDD is suspect. Salkilld's grappling should neutralize Mullarkey's striking. Control time should favor Salkilld significantly.
Key Factors
Salkilld undefeated (7-0)Massive betting favorite (-1200)Salkilld's dominant wrestlingMullarkey's suspect takedown defenseHome crowd advantage for SalkilldMullarkey's experience and power are his only paths to victory
Quillan Salkilld Style
Jamie Mullarkey Style
Quillan Salkilld Momentum
Momentum
On FireLast 5 Fights
5W - 0L
Streak
7W
Hotness Index
85
Decline Index
0
Jamie Mullarkey Momentum
Momentum
SteadyLast 5 Fights
3W - 2L
Streak
1W
Hotness Index
65
Decline Index
20
Quillan Salkilld Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
15%Damage
10%Age Curve
5%Ring Rust
10%Post-KO
5%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event
Jamie Mullarkey Red Flags
Weight Cut
15%Cardio
25%Damage
35%Age Curve
20%Ring Rust
10%Post-KO
30%Title Fight
5 Rounds
Main Event